Traffik Analysis Hub and STOP THE TRAFFIK regularly monitor events that will likely impact operational, human rights, and supply chain risk and provide briefing notes. With the recent invasion of Ukraine leading to severe disruption of supply chains and causing a refugee crisis in Europe, STOP THE TRAFFIK & Traffik Analysis Hub has provided a downloadable briefing of our investigation below.
Please note that these are preliminary findings and are subject to change due to the current situation.
We are an intelligence-led organisation and our briefing covers insights such as:
The war will severely disrupt the supply of key commodities such as seed oil, cereals, and wheat; roughly 12% of global wheat exports and 33% of global sunflower oil exports come out of Ukraine
While some suggest other grain-producing countries simply plant more to offset the shortage, the conflict's impact on natural gas supply from Russia will likely also affect energy-intensive fertiliser production
Natural gas supply disruption may also lead to rising energy prices for manufacturing facilities, as roughly 10% of total natural gas flows through Ukraine to the EU which may be damaged during the conflict or disrupted by sanctions
This briefing on Ukraine is a key to help notify businesses of potential routes and hotspots of exploitation, to draw conclusions as to whether or not further preventative action must be taken to avoid exploitation, and to offer recommendations for businesses who operate in at-risk areas due to the current conflict in Ukraine.
Our Joint Statement on Ukraine with Traffik Analysis Hub
Read on here.